Aurora vs Universitario SFXCH analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
33%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
AUR
1 - 2
SAN
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
OPE
3 - 0
AUR
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
PET
3 - 1
AUR
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2013 |
AUR
5 - 0
RPO
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
LAP
0 - 1
AUR
33%
25%
42%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Universitario SFXCH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
UNI
3 - 2
RPO
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
LAP
0 - 1
UNI
25%
26%
48%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
UNI
4 - 0
STR
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
BLO
0 - 1
UNI
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 0
JWI
57%
24%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |