Aurora vs Ciclón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CIC
0 - 0
AUR
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
FAN
0 - 1
AUR
8%
20%
72%
|
68 | 38 | 30 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
AUR
1 - 0
AME
86%
11%
3%
|
68 | 34 | 34 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
AUR
2 - 1
REA
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2016 |
TIQ
0 - 2
AUR
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ciclón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CIC
0 - 0
AUR
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
AME
2 - 1
CIC
11%
18%
71%
|
64 | 34 | 30 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CIC
1 - 1
FAN
83%
12%
5%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
FAN
2 - 1
CIC
12%
18%
70%
|
64 | 36 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
CIC
3 - 0
BER
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |