Aurora vs Always Ready analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
57.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
RPO
2 - 1
AUR
59%
21%
20%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
SAC
4 - 2
AUR
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2020 |
AUR
1 - 2
STR
10%
20%
71%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
BLO
4 - 0
AUR
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 0
AUR
79%
14%
7%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Always Ready
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
REA
2 - 0
GUA
74%
16%
10%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
REA
2 - 2
NAC
59%
22%
20%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
ROY
4 - 1
REA
22%
25%
53%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
REA
2 - 1
BOL
31%
22%
46%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2020 |
CMV
2 - 0
REA
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |