9 De Julio De Colonia vs Malvinas De Federal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
24%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 De Julio De Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
LBC
1 - 0
COA
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
COA
2 - 1
URU
9%
18%
73%
|
30 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
RIC
3 - 2
COA
32%
22%
46%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
URU
1 - 1
COA
86%
10%
3%
|
30 | 55 | 25 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
COA
1 - 0
RIC
61%
19%
20%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Malvinas De Federal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
MDF
1 - 2
URU
9%
18%
73%
|
27 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
LBC
0 - 0
MDF
60%
20%
20%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
EDF
1 - 2
MDF
33%
22%
46%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MDF
0 - 2
LBC
39%
23%
38%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |