Paulista A3 1st Stage Round 1

RB Bragantino B vs Matonense analysis

RB Bragantino B Matonense
21 ELO 41
0.3% Tilt 0%
41018º General ELO ranking 24143º
1223º Country ELO ranking 701º
ELO win probability
13.4%
RB Bragantino B
17.1%
Draw
69.5%
Matonense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.4%
Win probability
RB Bragantino B
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
69.4%
Win probability
Matonense
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
RB Bragantino B
+49%
-12%
Matonense

ELO progression

RB Bragantino B
Matonense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

RB Bragantino B
RB Bragantino B
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 2018
CAB
RB Bragantino B
2 - 0
Taubaté
TAU
8%
15%
77%
26 58 32 0
19 Sep. 2018
SAO
São Bernardo FC
1 - 0
RB Bragantino B
CAB
76%
16%
8%
26 58 32 0
16 Sep. 2018
SAN
Santo André
1 - 0
RB Bragantino B
CAB
73%
18%
10%
26 58 32 0
13 Sep. 2018
CAB
RB Bragantino B
4 - 1
Água Santa
AGU
9%
17%
74%
15 50 35 +11
05 Sep. 2018
SAN
Santos B
2 - 2
RB Bragantino B
CAB
82%
12%
6%
14 48 34 +1

Matches

Matonense
Matonense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Apr. 2023
MAR
Marília
1 - 0
Matonense
MAT
63%
21%
16%
44 53 9 0
12 Apr. 2023
MAT
Matonense
2 - 2
Capivariano
CAP
20%
23%
58%
44 55 11 0
08 Apr. 2023
BER
EC São Bernardo
2 - 1
Matonense
MAT
64%
20%
16%
44 52 8 0
02 Apr. 2023
MAT
Matonense
1 - 0
EC São Bernardo
BER
26%
25%
49%
43 53 10 +1
30 Mar. 2023
CAP
Capivariano
4 - 1
Matonense
MAT
69%
18%
13%
44 52 8 -1