CSL Benfica vs Sporting Macau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
93.7%
Win probability
4.05
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
0.9%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1%
8-0
1.9%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
<0%
+8
2.4%
7-0
3.8%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.1%
+7
4.8%
6-0
6.6%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
8.7%
5-0
9.8%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
13.4%
4-0
12%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.6%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
4.5%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
2.1%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
4.5%
1.5%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.2%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-95%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSL Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BEN
9 - 2
LUL
82%
11%
7%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BEN
1 - 0
MCA
63%
17%
20%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
HSA
3 - 4
BEN
13%
15%
72%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
BEN
0 - 2
CPK
53%
19%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
FJH
1 - 2
BEN
8%
11%
81%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
TCK
4 - 2
SMA
36%
21%
43%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CHF
3 - 0
SMA
83%
11%
6%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 0
SMA
75%
14%
11%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
SMA
1 - 1
LUL
17%
19%
65%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
MCA
1 - 1
SMA
89%
8%
4%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |