CSL Benfica vs Policia SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSL Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SMA
0 - 3
BEN
49%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
CPK
0 - 3
BEN
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
LAI
0 - 9
BEN
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
BEN
11 - 0
KLM
75%
15%
10%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
BEN
3 - 0
MAC
62%
19%
18%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Policia SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
WAK
1 - 1
PSP
61%
20%
20%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
SMA
1 - 0
PSP
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CPK
1 - 1
PSP
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
LAI
1 - 2
PSP
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
PSP
2 - 1
KLM
67%
19%
14%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |