CSL Benfica vs Kei Lun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.3%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
9.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSL Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
BEN
3 - 0
MAC
62%
19%
18%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
BEN
1 - 2
MCA
51%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
WAK
0 - 0
BEN
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
PSP
0 - 1
BEN
42%
24%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2013 |
KLM
0 - 12
BEN
31%
24%
46%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Kei Lun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
PSP
2 - 1
KLM
67%
19%
14%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
KLM
0 - 3
SMA
25%
21%
53%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
KLM
2 - 7
CPK
28%
22%
50%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
KLM
0 - 4
LAI
41%
23%
36%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2013 |
KLM
0 - 12
BEN
31%
24%
46%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |