Cliftonville vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
13.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
BAL
2 - 1
CLI
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2018 |
CLI
3 - 1
NEW
74%
17%
10%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
CLI
1 - 0
GLE
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
COL
1 - 2
CLI
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
CLI
3 - 1
WAR
72%
17%
11%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
WAR
1 - 1
DUN
47%
24%
29%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
DUN
2 - 1
INS
38%
25%
37%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
ARD
2 - 2
DUN
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
DUN
1 - 2
LIN
15%
23%
62%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
BAL
1 - 1
DUN
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |