Cliftonville vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
31.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
COL
4 - 3
CLI
21%
21%
58%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
CLI
0 - 1
POR
66%
19%
15%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
ARD
2 - 3
CLI
11%
20%
69%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
CLI
2 - 2
COL
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
GLE
2 - 5
CLI
29%
24%
47%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
WAR
1 - 1
CRU
14%
22%
64%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
LIN
1 - 1
CRU
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
CRU
2 - 1
CSF
91%
7%
2%
|
73 | 37 | 36 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
CRU
5 - 1
DUN
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2014 |
POR
1 - 1
CRU
33%
26%
42%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |