Claypole vs CA Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
44.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Claypole
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
YUP
1 - 0
CLA
71%
18%
11%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CLA
0 - 0
JUU
18%
25%
57%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2016 |
ALE
1 - 0
CLA
70%
19%
11%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
CLA
0 - 2
LAM
49%
26%
26%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
CLA
1 - 1
ALE
34%
29%
38%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
LUG
0 - 0
LAM
59%
23%
18%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
VIC
0 - 1
LUG
37%
27%
36%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
LUG
1 - 2
PUE
45%
25%
30%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2016 |
CBA
1 - 1
LUG
47%
25%
28%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
LUG
1 - 0
DPA
43%
27%
31%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +2 |