Clarence United vs Hobart Zebras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.4%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.8%
82.5%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
11.8%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.2%
0-4
8.4%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
11.9%
0-5
4.7%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.4%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.9%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Clarence United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
CLA
2 - 2
LAU
18%
18%
64%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
DEV
4 - 0
CLA
91%
6%
2%
|
8 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
CLA
1 - 3
SOU
4%
9%
88%
|
8 | 37 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
CLA
1 - 6
KIN
44%
22%
35%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -2 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
CLA
2 - 0
LAU
18%
18%
64%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Hobart Zebras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
HOB
4 - 1
KIN
88%
8%
4%
|
33 | 12 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
NOR
2 - 5
HOB
11%
15%
74%
|
33 | 13 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2016 |
HOB
1 - 0
OLY
77%
13%
10%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
SOU
0 - 1
HOB
69%
16%
15%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
KIN
2 - 3
HOB
10%
14%
76%
|
31 | 10 | 21 | +1 |