Civil Service Strollers vs Tynecastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
28.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Civil Service Strollers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
CIV
4 - 1
SPA
43%
21%
36%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
ORM
1 - 2
CIV
52%
21%
27%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +3 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CIV
2 - 0
HER
49%
22%
29%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
HAW
4 - 2
CIV
30%
22%
48%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
LOT
3 - 2
CIV
80%
13%
7%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Tynecastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
BUR
2 - 2
TYN
9%
13%
77%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
HER
2 - 3
TYN
42%
22%
36%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +3 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
TYN
1 - 4
ORM
66%
17%
17%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
COL
2 - 3
TYN
25%
21%
54%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CRA
3 - 3
TYN
19%
18%
63%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |