Civil Service Strollers vs Heriot-Watt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
28.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Civil Service Strollers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
HAW
4 - 2
CIV
30%
22%
48%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
LOT
3 - 2
CIV
80%
13%
7%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CIV
2 - 3
LEI
24%
21%
54%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
LEI
1 - 0
CIV
77%
15%
9%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
BUR
0 - 1
CIV
13%
17%
69%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Heriot-Watt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
HER
2 - 3
TYN
42%
22%
36%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
EYE
1 - 7
HER
6%
12%
82%
|
32 | 9 | 23 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
PEE
2 - 2
HER
55%
20%
24%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
SPA
0 - 2
HER
60%
20%
21%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
HER
1 - 2
CRA
75%
14%
11%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |