Ciudad de Lucena vs Sevilla C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
4º
13º
6º
46
2º
13º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
64.5% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
64.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
13º
|
93.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
93.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 49.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 50.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
CDL
21%
25%
54%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CDL
2 - 1
COR
74%
17%
9%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
BOL
2 - 1
CDL
20%
24%
56%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CDL
4 - 0
CIS
50%
24%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ANT
1 - 1
CDL
36%
26%
38%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
COR
2 - 1
SEV
42%
26%
32%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SEV
1 - 3
CIS
28%
25%
47%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
POZ
2 - 0
SEV
47%
25%
28%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SEV
0 - 1
XER
30%
26%
44%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CRD
1 - 0
SEV
72%
17%
11%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |