Ciudad de Murcia vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
61.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad de Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
CIU
3 - 2
SPO
28%
27%
45%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
CDT
1 - 1
CIU
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
CIU
1 - 3
EIB
39%
32%
30%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
CAD
2 - 1
CIU
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
NUM
7 - 0
CIU
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
ESP
1 - 3
FCB
27%
26%
48%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
FCB
1 - 2
RMA
41%
24%
35%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
MAL
5 - 1
FCB
28%
27%
46%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
FCB
0 - 0
VAD
75%
16%
9%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2003 |
FCB
2 - 0
PAN
80%
13%
7%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |