FC Messina vs Due Torri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
22.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
CIT
1 - 4
NGI
49%
23%
29%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
LIC
1 - 1
CIT
37%
24%
39%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
CIT
1 - 4
BAT
56%
22%
22%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
CMU
1 - 0
CIT
36%
24%
40%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
CIT
2 - 1
NOT
43%
26%
31%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Due Torri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
DTO
3 - 1
CMU
33%
24%
44%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
NGI
2 - 2
DTO
63%
20%
18%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
DTO
2 - 0
RAG
48%
23%
29%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
BAT
4 - 1
DTO
62%
20%
19%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
DTO
1 - 0
USV
42%
25%
33%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |