Citizen AA vs Sai Kung DSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.2%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.5%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.7%
3.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+62%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Citizen AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
CAA
5 - 2
SHA
39%
24%
37%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
HOI
2 - 2
CAA
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
NDT
2 - 1
CAA
68%
19%
13%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
WIN
2 - 2
CAA
75%
15%
10%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
KWL
3 - 0
CAA
71%
18%
11%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Sai Kung DSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
SKU
2 - 0
NWK
26%
22%
52%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
ISD
2 - 1
SKU
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
KKA
7 - 1
SKU
81%
13%
6%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
SKU
0 - 1
FUK
28%
25%
47%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
SKU
2 - 1
KMO
90%
7%
3%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | 0 |