Ciserano vs Caravaggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
27.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciserano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
CIS
1 - 0
GSD
52%
21%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
SER
0 - 2
CIS
67%
19%
15%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
CIS
2 - 2
SCA
52%
23%
25%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
REZ
2 - 1
CIS
82%
12%
6%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
CIS
1 - 2
VBE
37%
24%
39%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
PRO
1 - 1
CAR
78%
14%
8%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 2
REZ
19%
20%
62%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
MAN
2 - 0
CAR
73%
19%
9%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 1
PON
28%
24%
49%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
COM
1 - 0
CAR
82%
13%
5%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | 0 |