Cirencester Town vs Guildford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
27.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cirencester Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
CIN
1 - 2
CIR
61%
21%
19%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
CIR
2 - 0
DID
45%
24%
31%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
SWI
1 - 1
CIR
75%
15%
10%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
CIR
1 - 3
NOR
21%
21%
58%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
MAN
0 - 1
CIR
64%
20%
17%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Guildford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
AFH
3 - 4
GUI
67%
18%
16%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
GUI
3 - 2
CHA
38%
24%
39%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
THA
1 - 3
GUI
62%
21%
17%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
SLO
1 - 2
GUI
82%
12%
6%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
AYL
1 - 2
GUI
56%
22%
22%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |