Cinfães vs Benfica Castelo Branco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
31.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cinfães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
PAM
2 - 2
CIN
36%
24%
40%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
SPC
4 - 0
CIN
75%
16%
9%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CIN
2 - 1
ADN
62%
20%
17%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CIN
0 - 1
ANA
48%
24%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
PAD
0 - 2
CIN
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
BEN
2 - 1
TOU
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
UNM
3 - 1
BEN
79%
14%
7%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
BUS
0 - 0
BEN
39%
25%
37%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
POM
2 - 1
BEN
30%
25%
46%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BEN
3 - 1
PAM
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |