Cinfães vs Lusitânia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cinfães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
OPE
2 - 2
CIN
43%
26%
31%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CIN
2 - 1
CES
61%
22%
18%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ANA
3 - 0
CIN
27%
26%
48%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
CIN
1 - 2
SAO
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ACV
3 - 0
CIN
63%
22%
15%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lusitânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
LUS
1 - 1
TOU
50%
24%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
BEN
0 - 1
LUS
58%
22%
20%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
BUS
1 - 1
LUS
43%
24%
33%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
LUS
2 - 0
SOU
38%
24%
38%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
LUS
0 - 3
PAM
38%
26%
36%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -2 |