Cinfães vs Leça FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
49.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
8º
11º
10º
4
1º
12º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
7º
|
4 | 48 |
1º
|
33.5% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 45 |
2º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
5 | 44 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 42 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 39 |
5º
|
4.5% | |
|
9º
|
2 | 38 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 37 |
7º
|
5.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 34 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 33 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
2 | 32 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 32 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
1º
|
7 | 29 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 25 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 23 |
14º
|
36% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2% | 50.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
50% | 45.5% |
|
Relegation
|
48% | 4% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cinfães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
VIL
1 - 1
CIN
51%
26%
23%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
CIN
0 - 1
REB
35%
27%
38%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
MAR
2 - 3
CIN
33%
25%
42%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
CIN
1 - 3
ALP
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
CIN
3 - 1
COI
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Leça FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
LEC
1 - 0
FFC
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
VIL
2 - 1
LEC
24%
25%
51%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
VSC
3 - 4
LEC
61%
22%
18%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
LEC
2 - 5
PAR
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
ADM
3 - 2
LEC
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |