Cinfães vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
1.9%
Win probability
0.2
Expected goals
2-0
0.1%
3-1
<0%
+2
0.2%
1-0
1.3%
2-1
0.3%
3-2
<0%
+1
1.7%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
0.4%
3-3
<0%
0
10.4%
87.7%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
20.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.2%
-2
24.7%
0-3
17.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
19.8%
0-4
11%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0%
-4
12.2%
0-5
5.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
6%
0-6
2.3%
1-7
0.2%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cinfães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
CIN
1 - 0
LUS
37%
26%
37%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
EST
0 - 0
CIN
33%
24%
42%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
CIN
1 - 1
ANA
61%
20%
19%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
EST
1 - 5
CIN
40%
24%
36%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
ESP
1 - 1
CIN
65%
20%
15%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
EST
1 - 2
SLB
21%
24%
56%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
PSG
3 - 0
SLB
54%
24%
22%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
SLB
1 - 1
BEL
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
VIT
0 - 1
SLB
22%
24%
54%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
SLB
2 - 0
AND
55%
22%
23%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |