Cinfães vs AD Nogueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
17.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cinfães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CIN
0 - 1
ANA
48%
24%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
PAD
0 - 2
CIN
42%
25%
33%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CIN
2 - 1
PAR
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
CIN
1 - 1
AMA
41%
26%
33%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
OLI
4 - 0
CIN
29%
25%
46%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -3 |
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ADN
1 - 2
OLI
72%
17%
11%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
OLI
1 - 0
ADN
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ADN
5 - 2
VAL
84%
11%
5%
|
35 | 10 | 25 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
AVA
2 - 1
ADN
30%
24%
46%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ADN
3 - 1
SAN
18%
22%
59%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | +2 |