Cincinnati Dutch Lions vs TFC Academy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
21.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cincinnati Dutch Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
DAY
1 - 1
CIN
47%
21%
32%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
IND
1 - 0
CIN
77%
15%
8%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
CHA
3 - 2
CIN
76%
15%
9%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 3
CIN
24%
21%
55%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
CHA
4 - 1
CIN
71%
18%
11%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
TFC Academy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2016 |
TFC
0 - 7
KWU
16%
21%
63%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
TFC
2 - 3
KWU
19%
23%
59%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | +2 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
FOR
6 - 2
TFC
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2015 |
RIV
0 - 1
TFC
25%
22%
54%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
KWU
2 - 2
TFC
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | +1 |