Cincinnati Dutch Lions vs Derby City Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
34.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cincinnati Dutch Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
RIV
2 - 0
CIN
29%
22%
50%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
RIV
3 - 2
CIN
49%
21%
30%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2016 |
CIN
0 - 3
MIC
13%
19%
69%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
CIN
0 - 2
KWU
16%
20%
64%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2016 |
CIN
1 - 1
KWU
15%
20%
65%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Derby City Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
RIV
3 - 2
CIN
49%
21%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
MIC
1 - 1
RIV
83%
12%
6%
|
31 | 57 | 26 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
DAY
3 - 1
RIV
57%
19%
24%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
RIV
4 - 1
DAY
38%
22%
39%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
| 29 Jun. 2016 |
RIV
1 - 4
MIC
9%
16%
75%
|
30 | 56 | 26 | 0 |