Premier de Ascenso - Clausura Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Cimarrones de Sonora vs Irapuato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
45.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
CIM
5 - 1
RVC
60%
25%
15%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
RVC
3 - 0
CIM
23%
28%
49%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
CIM
4 - 0
MFC
69%
21%
11%
|
75 | 37 | 38 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
ADP
2 - 0
CIM
35%
28%
38%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
CIM
3 - 0
AGU
70%
19%
10%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
IRA
1 - 1
DUR
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
DUR
2 - 2
IRA
32%
25%
43%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
PDS
0 - 3
IRA
16%
24%
60%
|
80 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
IPC
0 - 3
IRA
20%
24%
56%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
IRA
3 - 1
DEV
69%
21%
10%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |