Cieza vs Real Murcia Imperial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
51.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
PIN
2 - 1
CIE
36%
25%
39%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CIE
3 - 1
CAR
46%
23%
31%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MIN
3 - 1
CIE
74%
17%
9%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CIE
0 - 1
MUL
45%
23%
32%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
YEC
2 - 0
CIE
80%
14%
7%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
IMP
1 - 0
AGU
44%
26%
30%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 1
IMP
30%
25%
45%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
IMP
2 - 2
PLU
75%
16%
8%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
JUM
0 - 0
IMP
54%
24%
23%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
PIN
1 - 2
IMP
16%
24%
60%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |