Cieza vs Real Murcia Imperial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
UCA
3 - 0
CIE
71%
18%
11%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
CIE
5 - 0
OLI
78%
14%
8%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
CIE
1 - 0
MIN
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
CIE
1 - 0
MUL
77%
14%
9%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
PUL
0 - 1
CIE
25%
25%
51%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
IMP
3 - 1
AGU
27%
27%
46%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
BUL
1 - 0
IMP
34%
27%
39%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
IMP
2 - 1
MAR
17%
23%
60%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
PLU
1 - 0
IMP
52%
25%
24%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
IMP
3 - 1
MSM
51%
26%
24%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |