Cieza vs Molinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1980 |
CIE
1 - 0
ALM
45%
27%
28%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1980 |
PIN
1 - 0
CIE
60%
23%
18%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
CIE
2 - 1
CFB
45%
27%
28%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
HEL
0 - 0
CIE
76%
16%
7%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
CIE
1 - 0
UNI
24%
26%
51%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Molinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1980 |
MOL
0 - 0
PIN
58%
24%
18%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1980 |
CFB
0 - 1
MOL
74%
17%
9%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
MOL
2 - 1
HEL
36%
28%
36%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | +3 |
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
CAL
0 - 2
MOL
67%
20%
14%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |