Cieza vs Callosa Deportiva CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.2%
Win probability
3.48
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.5%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.2%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.5%
4.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
ALM
2 - 0
CIE
49%
21%
31%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1961 |
CIE
0 - 2
ALI
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
RAY
3 - 2
CIE
50%
21%
29%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
CIE
2 - 0
NOV
68%
17%
15%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
IND
3 - 0
CIE
50%
21%
29%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Callosa Deportiva CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
CAL
3 - 3
MAD
29%
23%
48%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1961 |
LOR
3 - 0
CAL
89%
8%
3%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
CAL
0 - 2
ELD
21%
21%
58%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
CRE
3 - 2
CAL
88%
8%
4%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
ALM
0 - 1
CAL
87%
8%
5%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |