Cieza vs Bigastro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
10.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1985 |
ELD
0 - 0
CIE
78%
15%
7%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1985 |
CIE
4 - 1
CIU
77%
16%
8%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1985 |
MUL
0 - 5
CIE
15%
26%
59%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1985 |
CIE
2 - 1
IMP
50%
26%
24%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1985 |
CIE
2 - 0
TCF
67%
21%
13%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Bigastro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1985 |
BIG
2 - 1
VIL
46%
26%
28%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1985 |
TOR
1 - 3
BIG
55%
25%
20%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1985 |
BIG
0 - 1
ELC
47%
25%
28%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1985 |
CFB
2 - 1
BIG
67%
20%
13%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1985 |
HOR
1 - 1
BIG
72%
18%
11%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |