Cienfuegos vs Villa Clara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
42.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cienfuegos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2018 |
ISL
1 - 2
CIE
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
PIN
3 - 2
CIE
48%
27%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
CAM
0 - 3
CIE
57%
25%
19%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -3 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
CIE
2 - 1
ISL
34%
28%
38%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
CIE
0 - 0
PIN
35%
29%
36%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Villa Clara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2018 |
CIE
3 - 0
VIL
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
GUA
6 - 1
VIL
35%
28%
37%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
GRA
0 - 5
VIL
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 4
CIE
44%
25%
31%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 1
GUA
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |