Cuba First Division Normal Season Round 16

Ciego de Ávila vs Pinar del Rio analysis

Ciego de Ávila Pinar del Rio
62 ELO 61
-7.2% Tilt -2.4%
3466º General ELO ranking 3903º
Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
50.1%
Ciego de Ávila
27%
Draw
22.9%
Pinar del Rio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
Ciego de Ávila
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
22.9%
Win probability
Pinar del Rio
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ciego de Ávila
-9%
-26%
Pinar del Rio

ELO progression

Ciego de Ávila
Pinar del Rio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ciego de Ávila
Ciego de Ávila
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Nov. 2009
CIE
Ciego de Ávila
2 - 0
Santiago de Cuba
SAN
46%
27%
26%
62 62 0 0
18 Nov. 2009
CIE
Ciego de Ávila
1 - 1
Guantánamo
GUA
57%
25%
18%
62 57 5 0
14 Nov. 2009
ISL
Isla Juventud
0 - 2
Ciego de Ávila
CIE
42%
27%
31%
62 59 3 0
11 Nov. 2009
PIN
Pinar del Rio
0 - 5
Ciego de Ávila
CIE
44%
28%
29%
62 62 0 0
07 Nov. 2009
CIE
Cienfuegos
1 - 1
Ciego de Ávila
CIE
46%
27%
27%
62 62 0 0

Matches

Pinar del Rio
Pinar del Rio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Nov. 2009
VIL
Villa Clara
1 - 1
Pinar del Rio
PIN
57%
24%
19%
61 62 1 0
18 Nov. 2009
PIN
Pinar del Rio
0 - 1
Cienfuegos
CIE
45%
27%
28%
61 62 1 0
14 Nov. 2009
PIN
Pinar del Rio
2 - 1
Sancti Spiritus
SAN
52%
27%
22%
61 58 3 0
11 Nov. 2009
PIN
Pinar del Rio
0 - 5
Ciego de Ávila
CIE
44%
28%
29%
62 62 0 -1
07 Nov. 2009
GUA
Guantánamo
1 - 0
Pinar del Rio
PIN
39%
29%
32%
62 57 5 0