Cibao vs Vega Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cibao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
MOC
0 - 0
CFC
35%
29%
36%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2023 |
DEP
2 - 4
CFC
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
AVR
2 - 1
CFC
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 2
CFC
38%
29%
33%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
SCR
0 - 1
CFC
24%
25%
51%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Vega Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
AVR
2 - 1
DEP
38%
26%
36%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 0
AVR
52%
25%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
AVR
2 - 1
CFC
36%
27%
37%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
AVR
2 - 0
SCR
63%
22%
16%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
AVR
2 - 1
MOC
37%
27%
37%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |