Chur 97 vs Bazenheid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
20.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
3º
14º
8º
37
4º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 51 |
3º
|
80% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 49 |
4º
|
47% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
54% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 44 |
6º
|
49% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
44% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 40 |
10º
|
39% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
44% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
13º
|
63% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
72% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
15º
|
79.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chur 97
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
FCR
2 - 1
CHU
27%
21%
53%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
CHU
5 - 1
FCW
72%
16%
12%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
WIL
2 - 1
CHU
52%
20%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CHU
2 - 1
DSG
58%
20%
22%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FCB
0 - 0
CHU
39%
21%
40%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bazenheid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
BAZ
2 - 3
FRA
27%
21%
52%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
LAC
4 - 1
BAZ
51%
22%
27%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FCA
3 - 1
BAZ
38%
24%
39%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
UST
1 - 2
BAZ
49%
23%
28%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
BAZ
3 - 1
FCR
61%
19%
20%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |