Christchurch United vs Ferrymead Bays analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.4%
Win probability
3.56
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.9%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.9%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.4%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.7%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
7.3%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.3%
3.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
4º
1º
26
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 29 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Christchurch United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
HAW
0 - 3
CHR
30%
21%
50%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
DUN
1 - 3
CHR
11%
15%
74%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
CHR
6 - 0
SUF
92%
6%
2%
|
41 | 12 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 3
CHR
57%
19%
24%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
NOM
1 - 4
CHR
9%
14%
78%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Ferrymead Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
NSF
2 - 1
FER
65%
17%
18%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
FER
4 - 1
DUN
28%
22%
51%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
SUF
3 - 5
FER
34%
21%
45%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
FER
0 - 2
NOM
55%
20%
25%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
FER
0 - 1
CHR
10%
14%
76%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | -1 |