Universitario vs UMECIT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
18.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
8º
6º
19
6º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 30 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 0
SFF
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
AZU
0 - 1
CHO
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
AMA
2 - 1
CHO
47%
27%
27%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CHO
0 - 2
SMI
44%
28%
28%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CHO
0 - 0
ARA
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
UMECIT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
AZU
2 - 0
UME
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2024 |
IND
2 - 1
UME
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
TAU
1 - 1
UME
56%
26%
18%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
UME
0 - 1
AMA
32%
28%
40%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
UME
3 - 1
AFC
30%
29%
41%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |