Universitario vs Sporting San Miguelito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
23.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
VER
1 - 0
CHO
24%
28%
48%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CHO
0 - 0
SFF
45%
28%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
AMA
2 - 1
CHO
44%
29%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CHO
2 - 2
AFC
58%
25%
17%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
ARA
1 - 2
CHO
47%
28%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
SMI
0 - 2
AFC
57%
24%
20%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
ARA
1 - 1
SMI
52%
26%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
SMI
2 - 1
GEM
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
SMI
3 - 2
TAU
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2018 |
IND
3 - 2
SMI
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |