Universitario vs Atl. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
12.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
CHO
2 - 1
TAU
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 0
CHO
29%
29%
43%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
AFC
3 - 0
CHO
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CHO
0 - 2
SMI
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
AMA
1 - 1
CHO
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 1
AMA
24%
28%
48%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
TAU
1 - 0
NAC
66%
22%
12%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
NAC
3 - 0
SUN
31%
24%
45%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +3 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
COL
3 - 1
NAC
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 2
COL
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -2 |