Universitario vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
33.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
6º
2º
24
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 20 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2025 |
COS
1 - 3
CHO
48%
26%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
CHO
1 - 0
SMI
48%
27%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2025 |
AFC
0 - 1
CHO
37%
29%
34%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
AMA
3 - 1
CHO
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2025 |
CHO
2 - 1
TAU
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
ARA
0 - 1
IND
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
IND
0 - 0
AMA
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
IND
1 - 1
TAU
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
IND
4 - 0
SMI
51%
27%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
AFC
1 - 1
IND
34%
28%
39%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |