Chorley vs Lancaster City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
34%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
MOS
0 - 1
CHO
59%
21%
20%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2009 |
CHO
2 - 3
COL
25%
25%
50%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
CHO
0 - 2
CLI
43%
25%
32%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
WAR
1 - 3
CHO
45%
25%
30%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 2009 |
CHO
0 - 1
CUR
39%
24%
36%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Lancaster City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
COL
4 - 1
LAN
67%
19%
14%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
LAN
3 - 5
SAL
75%
16%
10%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
SKE
1 - 3
LAN
69%
18%
13%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
RAD
1 - 1
LAN
22%
24%
54%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2009 |
LAN
1 - 4
NBS
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -2 |