Chorley vs Kidderminster Harriers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
40.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
BOS
3 - 1
CHO
28%
25%
48%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
UNM
3 - 3
CHO
32%
25%
43%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
CHO
1 - 1
DAR
40%
25%
36%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
CHO
2 - 0
ALT
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2017 |
HAL
2 - 1
CHO
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
KID
3 - 2
CUR
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 0
KID
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
KID
4 - 0
NUN
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
KID
1 - 0
AFC
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
KID
3 - 0
EBB
37%
26%
37%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |