Chorley vs Gainsborough Trinity analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
CHO
0 - 3
CUR
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2017 |
SAL
1 - 1
CHO
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
TOW
2 - 1
CHO
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
CHO
2 - 1
AFC
66%
21%
13%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
STO
0 - 0
CHO
46%
25%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
GAI
3 - 3
DAR
12%
19%
70%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2017 |
HAL
2 - 1
GAI
78%
14%
8%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
TAM
1 - 0
GAI
68%
18%
14%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
GAI
1 - 2
FYL
9%
16%
75%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
NUN
2 - 1
GAI
62%
21%
17%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |