Chorley vs Alfreton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
ASH
0 - 5
CHO
28%
25%
48%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
BRA
2 - 2
CHO
41%
27%
32%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
CHO
2 - 0
CUR
64%
22%
14%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
BLY
1 - 2
CHO
26%
24%
50%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
CHO
1 - 0
HER
32%
28%
40%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
ALF
0 - 1
GUI
71%
16%
13%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
DAR
0 - 1
ALF
46%
23%
31%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
ALF
3 - 1
SOU
62%
19%
19%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
STO
0 - 1
ALF
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
ALF
3 - 1
BLY
38%
23%
39%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |