Chooka Talesh vs Fajr Sepasi analysis


51	ELO	58
-1.2%	Tilt	-21.7%
5589º	General ELO ranking	1373º
42º	Country ELO ranking	12º
ELO win probability

38.8%

Chooka Talesh

28.1%

Draw

33.1%

Fajr Sepasi

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

38.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%

28.1%

Draw

0-0

9.8%

1-1

13.2%

2-2

4.4%

3-3

0.7%

4-4

0.1%

0

28.1%

33.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-1%

+7%

Points and table prediction

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	70	70	1º	100%
2º	57	60	2º	99.5%
3º	55	58	3º	79%
4º	53	56	4º	73%
5º	52	55	5º	91.5%
6º	45	48	6º	79.5%
7º	45	48	7º	79.5%
8º	45	45	8º	100%
9º	40	43	9º	98.5%
10º	38	41	10º	82.5%
11º	37	40	11º	83.5%
12º	35	38	12º	95%
13º	33	36	13º	13.5%
14º	33	36	14º	10%
15º	29	32	15º	88%
16º	28	31	16º	88%
17º	22	25	17º	100%
18º	0	2	18º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Promotion	0%	0%
Mid-table	0%	0%
Relegation	100%	0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chooka Talesh

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
12 Oct. 2022	SHF 3 - 0 CTF 47% 29% 25%	52	54	2	0
06 Oct. 2022	CTF 1 - 1 AKF 36% 27% 37%	52	59	7	0
28 Sep. 2022	AST 1 - 1 CTF 41% 29% 30%	53	50	3	-1
20 Sep. 2022	CTF 0 - 0 PAR 40% 27% 33%	53	57	4	0
13 Sep. 2022	KHO 1 - 0 CTF 56% 25% 20%	53	55	2	0

Matches

Fajr Sepasi

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
06 Oct. 2022	ARM 1 - 1 FAJ 49% 27% 23%	58	57	1	0
02 Jun. 2022	FAJ 0 - 1 PER 15% 27% 58%	58	74	16	0
25 May. 2022	TRA 2 - 1 FAJ 65% 23% 12%	58	71	13	0
19 May. 2022	FAJ 0 - 1 ZOB 21% 29% 51%	59	68	9	-1
14 May. 2022	SPF 1 - 0 FAJ 58% 25% 17%	59	65	6	0