Chomutov vs FK Louny analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.6%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.6%
4.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
4º
2º
19
5º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chomutov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ADP
0 - 1
CHO
19%
20%
61%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CHO
5 - 1
MET
67%
18%
16%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
OLY
2 - 2
CHO
32%
23%
45%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CHO
3 - 1
NER
57%
21%
22%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ESK
3 - 5
CHO
24%
23%
54%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
FK Louny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LOU
2 - 2
HRE
41%
22%
37%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SKS
1 - 0
LOU
65%
19%
16%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
LOU
1 - 4
SKK
12%
17%
71%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
LOU
0 - 2
BRA
43%
23%
34%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ADP
1 - 0
LOU
58%
20%
22%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |