Cholet vs Thouars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cholet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
TOU
2 - 0
CHO
30%
25%
46%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
CHO
2 - 0
LRO
43%
25%
32%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 2
CHO
34%
24%
41%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
CHO
1 - 2
STG
48%
25%
28%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
SAU
0 - 3
CHO
18%
23%
60%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Thouars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
THO
0 - 1
CHA
30%
27%
43%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
TOU
1 - 1
THO
49%
23%
28%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
THO
2 - 0
STP
31%
26%
43%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
LRO
3 - 3
THO
72%
17%
11%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
THO
0 - 0
CHA
24%
25%
51%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |