Cholet vs Concarneau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
40.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cholet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 2
CHO
46%
25%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 1
CHO
27%
26%
47%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
CHO
1 - 0
LRO
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
TOU
1 - 2
CHO
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
CHO
1 - 0
LMU
25%
25%
51%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Concarneau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
TRE
0 - 1
CON
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
CON
3 - 1
STA
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
PON
0 - 0
CON
21%
25%
54%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
CON
1 - 2
LOR
48%
27%
26%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
NAN
3 - 3
CON
30%
26%
44%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |